Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 121.453768 138.201409 156.675414 178.608143 203.992219 232.511725 267.071993
2026-01-25 96.946244 118.685077 144.678880 178.216470 220.578908 272.621183 341.875619
2026-02-01 83.296174 107.424629 137.992977 179.893192 236.345666 310.493066 416.450144
2026-02-08 72.111848 96.896282 129.767434 177.062241 244.199951 337.344634 478.554570
2026-02-15 64.949916 90.421554 125.573740 178.343577 256.791693 371.075486 553.823094
2026-02-22 59.530730 85.522802 122.684889 180.638025 270.464825 407.288601 637.103423
2026-03-01 53.308449 78.676454 116.067974 176.337135 273.222826 426.701462 695.996253
2026-03-08 48.296537 73.054582 110.578752 172.930368 276.609973 446.975913 758.445892
2026-03-15 44.448837 68.800392 106.687251 171.476768 282.726335 472.045319 832.157654
2026-03-22 42.731612 67.703750 107.603588 177.869570 302.574157 522.622596 958.856703
2026-03-29 40.938876 66.287484 107.807308 182.970881 320.593695 571.948285 1090.381911
2026-04-05 38.278948 63.176393 104.860645 182.190314 327.771826 602.005503 1188.242742
2026-04-12 36.321094 61.318499 104.274460 186.326877 346.048682 658.371443 1355.803031
2026-04-19 33.777357 58.236170 101.298499 185.836691 355.659865 699.710137 1500.716915
2026-04-26 31.833147 56.022609 99.633984 187.587795 369.864059 752.408207 1681.141468
2026-05-03 29.472074 52.819499 95.810000 184.622232 373.897642 783.995009 1818.321181
2026-05-10 27.888812 50.915241 94.236368 185.964292 387.165631 837.734987 2020.282263
2026-05-17 26.574325 49.397536 93.247572 188.367631 403.021082 899.721730 2256.274048
2026-05-24 24.629103 46.483261 89.224126 183.862750 402.672925 923.433788 2395.502104
2026-05-31 22.962328 43.981897 85.807040 180.294786 404.014782 951.427429 2552.595403
2026-06-07 21.642596 42.070972 83.430340 178.772513 410.011477 991.991022 2754.807049
2026-06-14 21.180860 41.876012 84.617541 185.467805 436.977769 1091.096036 3155.363468
2026-06-21 20.618231 41.420254 85.199402 190.811359 461.304114 1187.338562 3571.411943